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Econ 4.3

Monday, February 15, 1999

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Lecture notes:  

Chapter 8: Macroeconomic Concerns: Unemployment, Inflation and Growth

Nominal GDP

  • Nominal GDP is GDP measured in current dollars
  • Current Dollars: the current price that one pays for goods and services
  • GDP Component, 1998 ($ billions)
    GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM) $8,508.9
    Consumption (C) $5,806.0
    Investment (I) $1,369.2
    Government (G) $1,487.8
    Net Exports (EX - IM) - $157.1
    GDP = $7,549.9 ($92)
  • Inventories
    • Desired Inventories: what is ordered and what is expected to sell
    • Undesired Inventories: what is not expected to sell

Recession

  • Recession: A recession is a period in which real GDP declines for at least two consecutive quarters. Most recessions are marked by falling output and rising unemployment
  • Depression: a prolonged and deep recession
  • Great Depression: 1929 - 1933

  • The Recession of 1980-1982

Defining Unemployment

  • Employed: any person 16 years or older, (1) who works for pay, either for someone else or in their own business, for one or more hours a week, (2) who works without pay for 15 hours a week in family business, or (3) who has a job but has been temporarily absent, with or without pay.
  • Unemployed: A person 16 years or older who is not working, is available for work, and has made specific efforts to find work during the previous four weeks.
  • Labor Force: The number of people employed plus the number of unemployed
  • Labor Force = Employed + Unemployed
  • Population = Labor Force + Those Not in Labor Force
  • Unemployment Rate = Unemployed / Labor Force
  • Labor Force Participation Rate = Labor Force / Population

Unemployed Rates and Demographics

  11/1982 1/1998
Total 10.8 % 4.7 %
White 9.6 % 4.0 %
African-American 20.2% 9.3%

Types of Unemployment

  • Cyclical: due to business cycle movements in GDP
  • Frictional: due to job search activities
  • Structural: due to changes in economic institutions, geographic displacement, technological change, discrimination

 
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